Anthoupoli vs Elassona: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Larissa
The Footlab model makes Elassona the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Anthoupoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anthoupoli vs Elassona?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Anthoupoli (1,490) and Elassona (1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anthoupoli have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Elassona have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nea Selefkia(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Proodos Rogon(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lefkimmi(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 13, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 10, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 3, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Anthoupoli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Elassona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Elassona 1-0 Anthoupoli | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Anthoupoli 1-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Elassona vs Anthoupoli on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Anthoupoli score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elassona score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthoupoli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Elassona | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anthoupoli vs Elassona?
- The Footlab model makes Elassona the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Anthoupoli.
- Where and when is Anthoupoli vs Elassona played?
- Anthoupoli vs Elassona is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.