Antofagasta vs Recoleta: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Regional Calvo y Bascuñán, Antofagasta
The Footlab model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antofagasta vs Recoleta?
Antofagasta starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antofagasta have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Recoleta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Espanola(away) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 5-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 2-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Antofagasta win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Recoleta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recoleta 0-2 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Antofagasta 0-0 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Recoleta 1-2 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Recoleta 2-2 Antofagasta | Primera B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Antofagasta 3-0 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Recoleta 0-1 Antofagasta | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Recoleta vs Antofagasta on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antofagasta score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antofagasta | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Recoleta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antofagasta sit 6th in Primera B (31 points from 20 matches) and Recoleta sit 9th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antofagasta vs Recoleta?
- The Footlab model makes Antofagasta the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Recoleta.
- Where and when is Antofagasta vs Recoleta played?
- Antofagasta vs Recoleta is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Regional Calvo y Bascuñán, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.