D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Curico Unido. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
D. Puerto Montt starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, D. Puerto Montt have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Curico Unido have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 D. Puerto Montt win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Curico Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Curico Unido 2-1 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
D. Puerto Montt score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Curico Unido score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Puerto Montt | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Curico Unido | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
D. Puerto Montt sit 7th in Primera B (31 points from 21 matches) and Curico Unido sit 13th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
- The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Curico Unido.
- Where and when is D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido played?
- D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario de Chinquihue, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.