Magallanes vs Union San Felipe: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Bernardo
The Footlab model makes Magallanes the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Union San Felipe. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Magallanes (1,639) and Union San Felipe (1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magallanes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Union San Felipe have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Magallanes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Union San Felipe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Union San Felipe 0-1 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Magallanes 2-0 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Union San Felipe 1-0 Magallanes | Primera B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Union San Felipe 0-0 Magallanes | Primera B |
| May 25, 2024 | Magallanes 2-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Union San Felipe 1-4 Magallanes | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Union San Felipe vs Magallanes on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magallanes score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union San Felipe score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magallanes | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Union San Felipe | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magallanes sit 3rd in Primera B (35 points from 21 matches) and Union San Felipe sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
- The Footlab model makes Magallanes the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Union San Felipe.
- Where and when is Magallanes vs Union San Felipe played?
- Magallanes vs Union San Felipe is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.