San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica
The Footlab model makes San Marcos de Arica the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Deportes Copiapo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate San Marcos de Arica (1,631) and Deportes Copiapo (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marcos de Arica have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Deportes Copiapo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Espanola(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Marcos de Arica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Deportes Copiapo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo 0-3 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 3-1 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| May 31, 2025 | San Marcos de Arica 0-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Deportes Copiapo 1-1 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| Jul 9, 2021 | San Marcos de Arica 0-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Jan 3, 2021 | San Marcos de Arica 2-3 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Marcos de Arica score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Copiapo score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcos de Arica | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marcos de Arica sit 8th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Copiapo sit 10th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
- The Footlab model makes San Marcos de Arica the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Deportes Copiapo.
- Where and when is San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo played?
- San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.