San Luis vs Cobreloa: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña, Quillota
The Footlab model makes San Luis the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cobreloa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Luis vs Cobreloa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate San Luis (1,656) and Cobreloa (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Luis have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Cobreloa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Luis win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cobreloa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cobreloa 3-1 San Luis | Primera B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cobreloa 1-1 San Luis | Primera B |
| Apr 27, 2025 | San Luis 1-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Oct 9, 2023 | Cobreloa 1-0 San Luis | Primera B |
| May 28, 2023 | San Luis 2-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Jul 4, 2022 | San Luis 0-0 Cobreloa | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
San Luis score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cobreloa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Luis | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Cobreloa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Luis sit 6th in Primera B (32 points from 20 matches) and Cobreloa sit 1st (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 6 | San Luis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Luis vs Cobreloa?
- The Footlab model makes San Luis the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cobreloa.
- Where and when is San Luis vs Cobreloa played?
- San Luis vs Cobreloa is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.