Match

Don Benito vs Antoniano: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don BenitoAntoniano

The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Antoniano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Antoniano?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,912) and Antoniano (1,879).

Don Benito win50 %
Draw28 %
Antoniano win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Antoniano have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Moralo(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026Diocesano(home)8-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026Villafranca(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026Jerez(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026Santa Amalia(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Antoniano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Málaga II(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Yeclano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Don Benito win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Antoniano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2025Antoniano 1-0 Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 3, 2024Don Benito 1-0 AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Antoniano vs Don Benito on Mar 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Don Benito2.10.766/156/15
Antoniano1.01.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Antoniano3412814384044

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Antoniano?
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Antoniano.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Antoniano played?
Don Benito vs Antoniano is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Don Benito and Antoniano

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