Badajoz vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Las Palmas II?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Las Palmas II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Las Palmas II
4-3-3- 34Diego Martín
- IIván Medina
- 40Elías Romero
- CCarlos Navarro Marín
- FFernando Moreno
- 33Sergio Viera
- 32Valentino
- BBrian
- 34Saliou
- 33Álvaro Santana
- 30Ãlvaro Killane
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Las Palmas II have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Badajoz wins, 1 draw, 0 Las Palmas II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II 0-0 Badajoz | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas II vs Badajoz on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Las Palmas II | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (16 points from 9 matches) and Las Palmas II sit 18th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Badajoz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 18 | Las Palmas II | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 5 |
A question about Badajoz vs Las Palmas II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Las Palmas II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Las Palmas II.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Las Palmas II played?
- Badajoz vs Las Palmas II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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