Where and when is Badajoz vs Las Palmas II played?

Badajoz vs Las Palmas II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Badajoz vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz

Badajoz

Las Palmas II

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badajoz vs Las Palmas II?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,866).

Badajoz win57 %

Draw26 %

Las Palmas II win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Las Palmas II have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badajoz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Cuarte(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Cuarte(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Moralo(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026	Moralo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026	Jaraíz(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Las Palmas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Socuéllamos(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Orihuela(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Getafe II(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Badajoz	2.5	0.7	8	6/15	10/15
Las Palmas II	1.1	1.5	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Las Palmas II?: The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Las Palmas II.
Where and when is Badajoz vs Las Palmas II played?: Badajoz vs Las Palmas II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.