Tenerife II vs Marbella: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,052 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife II vs Marbella?
On Elo ratings, Tenerife II has 1,875 points and Marbella 1,807.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife II vs Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife II
4-3-3- 37Cacho
- 27Alassán
- CChristian Hernández
- 28Dylan
- AAntonio Arcos
- 19Félix Alonso
- DD. Gouveia
- 33Marcos Otero
- DD. Mena
- 32Daniel Fernández
- 42Aarón Rodríguez
Marbella
4-3-3- 19E. Ohemeng
- 24D. Selma
- 11Pablo Moreno
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 36D. Revuelta
- 35I. Gonzalez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 4Adri Castellano
- 15Gabri Clemente
- 31D. Pineda
- 1Manu García
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife II have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Marbella have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife II score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife II sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 7 matches) and Marbella sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tenerife II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Marbella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Tenerife II vs Marbella?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife II vs Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Tenerife II vs Marbella played?
- Tenerife II vs Marbella is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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