Match

Tenerife II vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Tenerife IIMarbella

The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,052 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tenerife II vs Marbella?

On Elo ratings, Tenerife II has 1,875 points and Marbella 1,807.

58%25%17%
Tenerife II winDrawMarbella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tenerife II vs Marbella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tenerife II

4-3-3
  1. 37Cacho
  2. 27Alassán
  3. CChristian Hernández
  1. 28Dylan
  2. AAntonio Arcos
  3. 19Félix Alonso
  1. DD. Gouveia
  2. 33Marcos Otero
  3. DD. Mena
  4. 32Daniel Fernández
  1. 42Aarón Rodríguez

Marbella

4-3-3
  1. 19E. Ohemeng
  2. 24D. Selma
  3. 11Pablo Moreno
  1. 22J. Rodriguez
  2. 36D. Revuelta
  3. 35I. Gonzalez
  1. 23Alberto Escassi
  2. 4Adri Castellano
  3. 15Gabri Clemente
  4. 31D. Pineda
  1. 1Manu García

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife II have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Marbella have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tenerife II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Las Palmas II(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Xerez(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Estepona(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Estepona(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Badajoz(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Real Betis II(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Puente Genil(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Atlético Central(home)4-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Tenerife II score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tenerife II1.51.7211/1513/15
Marbella1.21.836/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tenerife II sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 7 matches) and Marbella sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Tenerife II7313111110
14Marbella7133696

A question about Tenerife II vs Marbella?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tenerife II vs Marbella?
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Marbella.
Where and when is Tenerife II vs Marbella played?
Tenerife II vs Marbella is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tenerife II and Marbella

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