Antwerp vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bosuilstadion, Deurne
The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antwerp vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Antwerp (1,953) and KV Mechelen (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antwerp have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Genk(home) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Antwerp win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Antwerp 2-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Antwerp 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Antwerp 2-1 KV Mechelen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Antwerp 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Antwerp on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antwerp score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antwerp sit 4th in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Antwerp vs KV Mechelen played?
- Antwerp vs KV Mechelen is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bosuilstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.