St. Truiden vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Standard Liege?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate St. Truiden (2,026) and Standard Liege (1,940).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Standard Liege have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 St. Truiden win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Standard Liege win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Standard Liege 2-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Standard Liege 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | St. Truiden 3-3 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs St. Truiden on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 2 matches) and Standard Liege sit 6th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs Standard Liege played?
- St. Truiden vs Standard Liege is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.