St. Truiden vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Standard Liege?
On Elo ratings, St. Truiden has 2,109 points and Standard Liege 2,053.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St. Truiden vs Standard Liege
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 11N. Mbuku
- 18N. Ishiwatari
- 99S. Shinkawa
- 23J. Pupe
- 26V. Musliu
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 16L. Kokubo
Standard Liege
4-2-3-1- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 22A. Trouillet
- 11A. Abid
- 15S. Drammeh
- 84R. Touzghar
- 80R. Fosso
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 3G. Mortensen
- 13M. Fossey
- 1M. Epolo
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 12:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Standard Liege have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dender(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 St. Truiden wins, 2 draws, 2 Standard Liege wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Standard Liege 2-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Standard Liege 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | St. Truiden 3-3 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs St. Truiden on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (11 points from 11 matches) and Standard Liege sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
A question about St. Truiden vs Standard Liege?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs Standard Liege played?
- St. Truiden vs Standard Liege is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.