Cercle Brugge vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Genk?
Genk starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (2,030 vs 1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Genk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cercle Brugge win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Genk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Genk 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 2-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Genk 2-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 2-3 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 4, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 4-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Genk 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Genk vs Cercle Brugge on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Genk | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge sit 13th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 3 matches) and Genk sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs Genk?
- The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cercle Brugge.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge vs Genk played?
- Cercle Brugge vs Genk is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.