Match

Cercle Brugge vs Genk: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge

Cercle BruggeGenk

The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Genk?

Genk starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,917).

25%25%50%
Cercle Brugge winDrawGenk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cercle Brugge vs Genk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Ngoura
  1. 42L. Mondele
  2. 28H. Van der Bruggen
  3. 18L. Le Roux
  4. 30B. Akinsola
  5. 11Charles Herrmann
  1. 24G. Kondo
  2. 12V. Konaté
  3. 15G. Magnée
  4. 5Emmanuel Kakou
  1. 1G. Coucke

Genk

4-3-3
  1. 17R. Durosinmi
  2. 10J. Ito
  3. 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
  1. 8B. Heynen
  2. 4B. Tahirović
  3. 38D. Heymans
  1. 20K. Amaro
  2. 18J. Kayembe
  3. 44J. Kongolo
  4. 6M. Smets
  1. 28L. Kiaba Mounganga

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Genk have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cercle Brugge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Sporting Hasselt(away)2-1Cup
Oct 10, 2026Anderlecht(home)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026Charleroi(away)2-3Jupiler Pro League
Sep 12, 2026OH Leuven(away)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Gent(home)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Genk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Excelsior Virton(away)2-0Cup
Oct 10, 2026Kortrijk(home)3-0Jupiler Pro League
Oct 3, 2026Fortuna Sittard(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Club Brugge KV(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Gent(home)1-1Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cercle Brugge win, 3 draws, 2 Genk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Genk 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
Oct 19, 2025Cercle Brugge 2-2 GenkJupiler Pro League
Feb 8, 2025Genk 2-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
Sep 14, 2024Cercle Brugge 2-3 GenkJupiler Pro League
May 4, 2024Cercle Brugge 4-1 GenkJupiler Pro League
Apr 13, 2024Genk 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Genk vs Cercle Brugge on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cercle Brugge score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cercle Brugge1.32.2011/1512/15
Genk1.61.747/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cercle Brugge sit 18th in Jupiler Pro League (3 points from 8 matches) and Genk sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Genk8332161212
18Cercle Brugge80359163

A question about Cercle Brugge vs Genk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs Genk?
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Cercle Brugge.
Where and when is Cercle Brugge vs Genk played?
Cercle Brugge vs Genk is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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