Zulte Waregem vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elindus Arena, Waregem
The Footlab model makes Zulte Waregem the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs OH Leuven?
Zulte Waregem starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zulte Waregem have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; OH Leuven have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Genk(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zulte Waregem win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 OH Leuven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-1 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 2-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | OH Leuven 5-0 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OH Leuven 4-2 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Zulte Waregem 2-5 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Zulte Waregem 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs Zulte Waregem on Dec 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Zulte Waregem score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zulte Waregem sit 3rd in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and OH Leuven sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zulte Waregem vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab model makes Zulte Waregem the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is Zulte Waregem vs OH Leuven played?
- Zulte Waregem vs OH Leuven is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elindus Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.