Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa?
Apollon Limassol starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Karmiotissa have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Apollon Limassol win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karmiotissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 3-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Karmiotissa 2-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Apollon Limassol 7-1 Karmiotissa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Apollon Limassol 0-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Karmiotissa 0-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Karmiotissa 3-4 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa played?
- Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.