Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for AEK Larnaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Omonia Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Omonia Nicosia (2,044) and AEK Larnaca (2,022).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Omonia Nicosia
4-2-3-1- 99L. Diony
- 74P. Andreou
- 11Ewandro
- 7J. Montnor
- 14M. Marić
- 22M. Tankovic
- 93J. Duverne
- 37Ľ. Šatka
- 29J. Balkovec
- 5S. Coulibaly
- 40Fabiano
AEK Larnaca
3-4-2-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 21Miramón
- 10Y. Chacón
- 20J. Repas
- 6I. Pankov
- 15H. Miličević
- 23S. Köhler
- 22G. Ekpolo
- 92A. Paleari
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Nicosia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AEL(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aris(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Omonia Nicosia wins, 2 draws, 1 AEK Larnaca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Apr 14, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 0-2 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 2-1 AEK Larnaca | Cup |
| Dec 15, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 1-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia on Oct 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Nicosia sit 3rd in 1. Division (15 points from 8 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 1st (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
A question about Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for AEK Larnaca.
- Where and when is Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.