Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Apollon Limassol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,080 vs 1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Omonia Nicosia have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Apollon Limassol win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Omonia Nicosia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 5-2 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-3 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 2-0 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| May 4, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 3-1 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Limassol sit 3rd in 1. Division (67 points from 36 matches) and Omonia Nicosia sit 1st (87 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 24 | 87 |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Apollon Limassol.
- Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia played?
- Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia is played on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.