Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Apoel Nicosia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Apoel Nicosia (1,877) and Apollon Limassol (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Apoel Nicosia win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Apollon Limassol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 0-0 Apollon Limassol | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 4-2 Apoel Nicosia | Cup |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 2-3 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apoel Nicosia sit 5th in 1. Division (52 points from 36 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Apoel Nicosia.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.