Match

Nea Salamis vs AEL: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, Larnaca

Nea SalamisAEL

The Footlab AI model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nea Salamis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nea Salamis vs AEL?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Nea Salamis (1,819) and AEL (1,854).

42%27%31%
Nea Salamis winDrawAEL win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nea Salamis vs AEL

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nea Salamis

4-4-1-1
  1. 17Aldair
  1. 7S. Grandsir
  2. 71G. Gerolemou
  3. 6Georgios Christodoulou
  4. 88Jordi Quintillà
  5. 10C. Giousis
  1. 29F. Hanin
  2. 4P. Artymatas
  3. 55Sergio González
  4. 30A. Panagiotou Filiotis
  1. 1Alberto Varó

AEL

4-2-3-1
  1. 10R. Oudin
  1. 11L. Singh
  2. 30G. Papageorgiou
  3. 6D. Zdravkovski
  4. 20João Tavares
  5. 80Jair Tavares
  1. 23Diogo Gomes
  2. 33E. Antoniou
  3. 22K. Neofytou
  4. 35Sérgio Conceição
  1. 1S. Kapino

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Salamis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AEL have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nea Salamis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Apollon Limassol(away)2-41. Division
Oct 10, 2026Apoel Nicosia(away)1-21. Division
Oct 3, 2026Ermis(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026AEK Larnaca(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Anorthosis(home)3-01. Division
AEL
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-01. Division
Oct 11, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)2-11. Division
Sep 18, 2026Pafos(away)2-01. Division
Sep 11, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-11. Division
Sep 6, 2026Apoel Nicosia(away)0-61. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nea Salamis wins, 2 draws, 4 AEL wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 11, 2026AEL 2-1 Nea Salamis1. Division
Apr 12, 2025Nea Salamis 1-3 AEL1. Division
Jan 24, 2025AEL 0-0 Nea Salamis1. Division
Oct 21, 2024Nea Salamis 0-2 AEL1. Division
Aug 11, 2024Nea Salamis 1-1 AELFriendlies Clubs
Apr 24, 2024AEL 5-4 Nea Salamis1. Division

Last archived meeting: AEL vs Nea Salamis on Sep 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nea Salamis score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nea Salamis2.31.6410/1512/15
AEL1.51.449/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nea Salamis sit 11th in 1. Division (4 points from 6 matches) and AEL sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AEL650110815
11Nea Salamis611411154

A question about Nea Salamis vs AEL?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nea Salamis vs AEL?
The Footlab AI model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AEL.
Where and when is Nea Salamis vs AEL played?
Nea Salamis vs AEL is played on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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