Nea Salamis vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, Larnaca
The Footlab model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs AEL?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Nea Salamis (1,817) and AEL (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Salamis have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; AEL have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(home) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nea Salamis win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Nea Salamis 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
| Jan 24, 2025 | AEL 0-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-2 AEL | 1. Division |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Nea Salamis 1-1 AEL | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2024 | AEL 5-4 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Nea Salamis 1-1 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Nea Salamis score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nea Salamis vs AEL?
- The Footlab model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AEL.
- Where and when is Nea Salamis vs AEL played?
- Nea Salamis vs AEL is played on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.