APR vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APR vs Etincelles?
APR starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,656).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APR vs Etincelles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APR
Not enough data to predict the APR lineup.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Etincelles have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Marines(home) | 4-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | JSK(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 APR wins, 2 draws, 1 Etincelles win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Etincelles 2-1 APR | National Soccer League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | APR 2-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | APR 2-2 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Etincelles 0-0 APR | National Soccer League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | APR 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Etincelles 0-3 APR | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APR sit 11th in National Soccer League (3 points from 1 match) and Etincelles sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
A question about APR vs Etincelles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APR vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is APR vs Etincelles played?
- APR vs Etincelles is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Amahoro, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.