Etoile de l'Est vs Marines: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Etoile de l'Est. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marines wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de l'Est vs Marines?
Marines starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de l'Est vs Marines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de l'Est
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de l'Est lineup.
Marines
Not enough data to predict the Marines lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de l'Est have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Marines have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2024 | Bugesera(home) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | APR(away) | 2-4 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Etoile de l'Est wins, 0 draws, 2 Marines wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Etoile de l'Est 1-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Marines 3-2 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
| May 7, 2022 | Etoile de l'Est 2-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Marines 2-1 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etoile de l'Est vs Marines on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de l'Est score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marines score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de l'Est | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Marines | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de l'Est sit 16th in National Soccer League (2 points from 4 matches) and Marines sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marines | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Etoile de l'Est | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
A question about Etoile de l'Est vs Marines?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de l'Est vs Marines?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Etoile de l'Est.
- Where and when is Etoile de l'Est vs Marines played?
- Etoile de l'Est vs Marines is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.