Bugesera vs Gasogi United: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Gasogi United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bugesera vs Gasogi United?
On Elo ratings, Bugesera has 1,644 points and Gasogi United 1,546.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bugesera vs Gasogi United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Gasogi United
Not enough data to predict the Gasogi United lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Gasogi United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bugesera(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sunrise(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Musanze(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 28, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bugesera wins, 3 draws, 0 Gasogi United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gasogi United 0-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Gasogi United 0-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bugesera 0-0 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Gasogi United 2-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Gasogi United 2-3 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Gasogi United vs Bugesera on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gasogi United score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Gasogi United | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 14th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gasogi United sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gasogi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs Gasogi United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bugesera vs Gasogi United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Gasogi United.
- Where and when is Bugesera vs Gasogi United played?
- Bugesera vs Gasogi United is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bugesera Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.