APS Bomet vs Migori Youth: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bomet Stadium, Bomet
The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for APS Bomet. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Migori Youth?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate APS Bomet (1,519) and Migori Youth (1,539).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APS Bomet have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Migori Youth have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | MCF(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 APS Bomet win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Migori Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Migori Youth 1-0 APS Bomet | Super League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | APS Bomet 2-1 Migori Youth | Super League |
| May 2, 2022 | Migori Youth 2-0 APS Bomet | Super League |
| Dec 19, 2021 | APS Bomet 1-1 Migori Youth | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Migori Youth vs APS Bomet on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
APS Bomet score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Migori Youth score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APS Bomet | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Migori Youth | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APS Bomet vs Migori Youth?
- The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for APS Bomet.
- Where and when is APS Bomet vs Migori Youth played?
- APS Bomet vs Migori Youth is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bomet Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.