Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mbaraki Sports Club, Mombasa
The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Mombasa Elite. The most likely score is 0-0. If APS Bomet wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet?
APS Bomet starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,525 vs 1,408).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mombasa Elite
Not enough data to predict the Mombasa Elite lineup.
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mombasa Elite have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; APS Bomet have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Naivas(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Luanda Villa(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Mombasa Elite wins, 1 draw, 3 APS Bomet wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Mombasa Elite 0-0 APS Bomet | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | APS Bomet 2-0 Mombasa Elite | Super League |
| May 27, 2022 | APS Bomet 4-1 Mombasa Elite | Super League |
| Mar 28, 2022 | Mombasa Elite 0-1 APS Bomet | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mombasa Elite score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa Elite | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mombasa Elite sit 16th in FKF Premier League (0 points from 1 match) and APS Bomet sit 14th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Mombasa Elite | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet?
- The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Mombasa Elite.
- Where and when is Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet played?
- Mombasa Elite vs APS Bomet is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mbaraki Sports Club, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.