Homeboyz vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
The Footlab AI model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Shabana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Homeboyz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Shabana?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Homeboyz (1,546) and Shabana (1,533).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Homeboyz vs Shabana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Homeboyz
Not enough data to predict the Homeboyz lineup.
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Homeboyz have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Shabana have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Homeboyz wins, 2 draws, 2 Shabana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Shabana 1-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Homeboyz 2-2 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Homeboyz 1-0 Shabana | Shield Cup |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Shabana 4-1 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Homeboyz 2-0 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Shabana 0-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Homeboyz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homeboyz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Shabana | 0.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Homeboyz sit 4th in FKF Premier League (3 points from 1 match) and Shabana sit 5th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Homeboyz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Shabana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
A question about Homeboyz vs Shabana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Homeboyz vs Shabana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Shabana.
- Where and when is Homeboyz vs Shabana played?
- Homeboyz vs Shabana is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bukhungu Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.