Where and when is Unionistas II vs Bembibre played?

Unionistas II vs Bembibre is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unionistas II vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Unionistas II

Bembibre

The Footlab model makes Unionistas II the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unionistas II vs Bembibre?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Unionistas II (1,704) and Bembibre (1,653).

Unionistas II win51 %

Draw25 %

Bembibre win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unionistas II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unionistas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Numancia II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Villaralbo(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unionistas II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bembibre win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Bembibre 0-0 Unionistas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2025	Unionistas II 3-2 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Unionistas II on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unionistas II	1.6	1.3	4	8/15	9/15
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unionistas II sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (31 points from 34 matches) and Bembibre sit 14th (34 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34
15	Unionistas II	34	6	13	15	32	43	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unionistas II vs Bembibre?: The Footlab model makes Unionistas II the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Unionistas II vs Bembibre played?: Unionistas II vs Bembibre is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.