Arandina vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero
The Footlab AI model makes Arandina the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arandina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arandina vs Mirandés II?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Arandina (1,715) and Mirandés II (1,679).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arandina vs Mirandés II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Mirandés II
Not enough data to predict the Mirandés II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Mirandés II have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arandina wins, 1 draw, 2 Mirandés II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina 2-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Mirandés II 3-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Arandina 2-4 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Mirandés II 1-3 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Arandina 0-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Mirandés II 2-3 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Mirandés II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Mirandés II | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arandina sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (10 points from 8 matches) and Mirandés II sit 18th (3 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Arandina vs Mirandés II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Mirandés II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arandina the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Mirandés II.
- Where and when is Arandina vs Mirandés II played?
- Arandina vs Mirandés II is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026AlmazánvsTurégano
- Nov 22, 2026Burgos PromesasvsBembibre
- Nov 22, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsAtlético Mansillés
- Nov 22, 2026Salamanca IIvsCalasanz de Soria
- Nov 22, 2026UD Santa MartavsCristo Atlético
- Nov 22, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Nov 22, 2026Palencia CFvsGuijuelo
- Nov 22, 2026VillaralbovsUnionistas II