Where and when is Arandina vs Mirandés II played?

Arandina vs Mirandés II is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arandina vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

Arandina

Mirandés II

The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Mirandés II?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Arandina (1,717) and Mirandés II (1,757).

Arandina win40 %

Draw28 %

Mirandés II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mirandés II have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Mirandés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Villaralbo(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Arandina(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Bembibre(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arandina win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mirandés II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Arandina 2-1 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 3, 2026	Mirandés II 3-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 8, 2025	Arandina 2-4 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 23, 2024	Mirandés II 1-3 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023	Arandina 0-0 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 18, 2022	Mirandés II 2-3 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Mirandés II on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15
Mirandés II	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arandina sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (37 points from 34 matches) and Mirandés II sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Mirandés II	34	13	8	13	43	35	47
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Mirandés II?: The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Mirandés II.
Where and when is Arandina vs Mirandés II played?: Arandina vs Mirandés II is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.