Match

UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes

UD Santa MartaCristo Atlético

The Footlab AI model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Cristo Atlético. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate UD Santa Marta (1,947) and Cristo Atlético (1,974).

41%32%27%
UD Santa Marta winDrawCristo Atlético win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Santa Marta

Not enough data to predict the UD Santa Marta lineup.

Cristo Atlético

Not enough data to predict the Cristo Atlético lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Santa Marta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Turégano(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 7, 2026Calasanz de Soria(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2026Salamanca II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Almazán(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Burgos Promesas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 7, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 18, 2026Villaralbo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 UD Santa Marta wins, 3 draws, 3 Cristo Atlético wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026UD Santa Marta 1-2 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 19, 2025Cristo Atlético 2-1 UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 15, 2025Cristo Atlético 2-1 UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 6, 2024UD Santa Marta 3-3 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 23, 2024UD Santa Marta 1-1 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 5, 2023Cristo Atlético 2-2 UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UD Santa Marta score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Santa Marta1.60.786/157/15
Cristo Atlético1.20.685/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Santa Marta sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (26 points from 11 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 2nd (24 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UD Santa Marta1182119626
2Cristo Atlético1173115524

A question about UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Cristo Atlético.
Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético played?
UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: UD Santa Marta and Cristo Atlético