Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético played?

UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes

UD Santa Marta

Cristo Atlético

The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cristo Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate UD Santa Marta (1,807) and Cristo Atlético (1,866).

UD Santa Marta win40 %

Draw29 %

Cristo Atlético win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Santa Marta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Cristo Atlético
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Laredo(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 UD Santa Marta win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Cristo Atlético win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	UD Santa Marta 1-2 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 19, 2025	Cristo Atlético 2-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 15, 2025	Cristo Atlético 2-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 6, 2024	UD Santa Marta 3-3 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 23, 2024	UD Santa Marta 1-1 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 5, 2023	Cristo Atlético 2-2 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
UD Santa Marta	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15
Cristo Atlético	1.5	0.8	5	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Santa Marta sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (62 points from 34 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 3rd (68 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	48	24	68
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	53	31	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético?: The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cristo Atlético.
Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético played?: UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.