Colegios Diocesanos vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, Ávila
The Footlab model makes La Virgen del Camino the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegios Diocesanos vs La Virgen del Camino?
La Virgen del Camino starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegios Diocesanos have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colegios Diocesanos win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 La Virgen del Camino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos 0-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | La Virgen del Camino 0-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | La Virgen del Camino 0-1 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Colegios Diocesanos 2-3 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Colegios Diocesanos 0-3 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 4, 2021 | La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Colegios Diocesanos vs La Virgen del Camino on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegios Diocesanos | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (36 points from 34 matches) and La Virgen del Camino sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 54 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegios Diocesanos vs La Virgen del Camino?
- The Footlab model makes La Virgen del Camino the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Colegios Diocesanos.
- Where and when is Colegios Diocesanos vs La Virgen del Camino played?
- Colegios Diocesanos vs La Virgen del Camino is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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