Arandina vs Real Madrid: result 1-3 and analysis
Copa del ReyRound of 32Kick-off on January 6, 2024 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero
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What was the result of Arandina vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 1-3 on January 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 54′JoseluReal Madrid (pen.)
- 55′Brahim DíazReal Madrid
- 90′NachoArandina (o.g.)
- 90′RodrygoReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Real Madrid have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Racing Santander II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Cadiz(home) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Real Avilés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | Mallorca(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Alaves(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Villarreal(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Union Berlin(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Real Betis(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arandina score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arandina | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy