Ararat-Armenia vs Celje: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Celje. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat-Armenia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ararat-Armenia (1,841) and Celje (1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat-Armenia vs Celje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat-Armenia
4-2-3-1- 91Sandro Lima
- 77A. Serobyan
- 8J. Balanta
- 7Z. Shaghoyan
- 10A. Ambartsumyan
- 19K. Muradyan
- 47A. Malis
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 16E. Grigoryan
- 2Hugo Oliveira
- 98João Bravim
Celje
4-3-3- 9B. Kramer
- 7B. Verbič
- 25V. Tusha
- 10S. Sešlar
- 19M. Zabukovnik
- 8M. Kvesić
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Celje have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 4-0 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ararat-Armenia wins, 0 draws, 1 Celje win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Celje 2-0 Ararat-Armenia | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 2-1 Celje | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Celje | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat-Armenia score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Celje score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Celje | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat-Armenia sit 36th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 3 matches) and Celje sit 29th (1 point from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
A question about Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Celje.
- Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs Celje played?
- Ararat-Armenia vs Celje is played on January 21, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.