Celje vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Celje. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celje vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celje
4-4-2- 10S. Sešlar
- 9B. Kramer
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 19M. Zabukovnik
- 14L. Tičić
- 13Papa Mustapha Daniel
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 15Ž. Žužek
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 9T. Chery
- 10D. Tadić
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celje sit 35th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 2 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 27th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 35 | Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Celje.
- Where and when is Celje vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Celje vs NEC Nijmegen is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.