Ballinamallard United vs Ards: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ferney Park, Ballinamallard
Full time
What was the result of Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Ballinamallard United and Ards drew 1-1 on October 3, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ards win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballinamallard United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ards have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 6-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ballinamallard United wins, 1 draw, 3 Ards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ballinamallard United 0-2 Ards | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ards 2-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 1-0 Ards | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ards 3-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Ards 0-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ballinamallard United vs Ards on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballinamallard United score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ards | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballinamallard United sit 10th in Championship (38 points from 38 matches) and Ards sit 8th (52 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
A question about Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy