Ards vs Newington Youth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab AI model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Ards. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newington Youth wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ards vs Newington Youth?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Ards (1,370) and Newington Youth (1,408).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ards vs Newington Youth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Newington Youth
Not enough data to predict the Newington Youth lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Newington Youth have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ards(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-7 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ards wins, 2 draws, 1 Newington Youth win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth 0-2 Ards | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Ards 2-1 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Newington Youth 2-0 Ards | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Newington Youth 0-3 Ards | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ards 1-1 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Newington Youth 2-2 Ards | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newington Youth vs Ards on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 8th in Championship (43 points from 33 matches) and Newington Youth sit 4th (51 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
A question about Ards vs Newington Youth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ards vs Newington Youth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Ards.
- Where and when is Ards vs Newington Youth played?
- Ards vs Newington Youth is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.