Warrenpoint Town vs Institute: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Institute wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Institute?
Institute starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,443 vs 1,333).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warrenpoint Town vs Institute
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warrenpoint Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.
Institute
Not enough data to predict the Institute lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Institute have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 7-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warrenpoint Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Institute wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Institute 2-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Institute 0-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Institute | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Institute | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Institute 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Warrenpoint Town 2-1 Institute | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Institute vs Warrenpoint Town on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Institute score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Institute | 1.9 | 1.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 9th in Championship (41 points from 38 matches) and Institute sit 7th (59 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
A question about Warrenpoint Town vs Institute?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Institute?
- The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Institute played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Institute is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.