Warrenpoint Town vs Institute: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab model makes Institute the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Institute?
Institute starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,359 vs 1,246).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Institute have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warrenpoint Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Institute win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Institute 0-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Institute | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Institute | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Institute 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Warrenpoint Town 2-1 Institute | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Institute 1-1 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Institute vs Warrenpoint Town on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Institute score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Institute | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 8th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Institute sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Institute | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 46 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 12 | Institute | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Institute?
- The Footlab model makes Institute the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Institute played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Institute is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.