Armagh City vs Rathfriland: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Holm Park, Armagh
The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rathfriland wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Armagh City vs Rathfriland?
Rathfriland starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,358 vs 1,142).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Armagh City vs Rathfriland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Armagh City
Not enough data to predict the Armagh City lineup.
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armagh City have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Rathfriland have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ards(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Armagh City wins, 0 draws, 1 Rathfriland win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rathfriland 2-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Rathfriland 0-1 Armagh City | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Armagh City 1-0 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Rathfriland vs Armagh City on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Armagh City score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rathfriland score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armagh City | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rathfriland | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Armagh City sit 12th in Championship (19 points from 38 matches) and Rathfriland sit 15th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Armagh CityChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 15 | RathfrilandChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Armagh City vs Rathfriland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Armagh City vs Rathfriland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Armagh City vs Rathfriland played?
- Armagh City vs Rathfriland is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Holm Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.