Match

Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoReal Unión

The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Unión wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión?

Real Unión starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,854).

24%27%49%
Arenas Getxo winDrawReal Unión win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenas Getxo

4-3-3
  1. 9José Luis Cortés
  2. 23Álex Oyón
  3. 14E. Redondo
  1. 16Gael Akogo Esono
  2. 6I. Garcia
  3. 24Álvaro Arnedo
  1. 18Rubi
  2. 2J. Larrauri
  3. 15B. Arratibel
  4. 22A. Dufur
  1. 1Manuel Obón

Real Unión

4-3-3
  1. 20Ander Martín
  2. 7Unai García
  3. 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
  1. 23Sangalli
  2. 6B. Gaubeka
  3. 28M. Mancisidor
  1. 2Javi Fontán
  2. 4Jordi Pola
  3. 3Álvaro Mateo
  4. 5Gaizka Martínez
  1. 13L. Emery

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Real Unión have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026CD Coria(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 24, 2026UD Ourense(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Mérida AD(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 23, 2026Lugo(home)4-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026UD Ourense(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Arenas Getxo wins, 4 draws, 0 Real Unión wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2021Arenas Getxo 0-0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 5, 2020Real Unión 1-1 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 15, 2020Arenas Getxo 0-0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 28, 2019Real Unión 1-1 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo0.92.137/158/15
Real Unión1.91.7211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 20th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Real Unión sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Real Unión10343191713
20Arenas Getxo102268228

A question about Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión played?
Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenas Getxo and Real Unión

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