Match

Zamora vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraCultural Leonesa

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Cultural Leonesa?

Zamora starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,836).

Zamora win55 %
Draw26 %
Cultural Leonesa win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Cultural Leonesa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Salamanca UDS(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Burgos(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zamora win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cultural Leonesa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2025Cultural Leonesa 1-1 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 15, 2024Zamora 0-1 Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 1, 2022Cultural Leonesa 0-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 11, 2021Zamora 2-2 Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2021Cultural Leonesa 2-3 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2021Zamora 3-2 Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa vs Zamora on Mar 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.41.166/158/15
Cultural Leonesa1.11.239/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Cultural Leonesa?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Cultural Leonesa.
Where and when is Zamora vs Cultural Leonesa played?
Zamora vs Cultural Leonesa is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zamora and Cultural Leonesa

Ready to know everything about football?