Match

Ponferradina vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

PonferradinaPontevedra

The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?

On Elo ratings, Ponferradina has 1,977 points and Pontevedra 1,975.

52%28%20%
Ponferradina winDrawPontevedra win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ponferradina vs Pontevedra

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ponferradina

4-3-3
  1. 7C. Calderon
  2. 10Borja Valle
  3. 11Quicala Bari
  1. 6Fede San Emeterio
  2. 8Arturo Molina
  3. 15O. Vacas
  1. 3Sergio Nieto
  2. 4A. Jelbat
  3. 24Koke
  4. 2David Andújar
  1. 1Álex Domínguez

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 20Rui Ferreira
  4. 15D. Alba
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pontevedra have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Zamora(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mirandes(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cacereño(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ponferradina win, 1 draw, 2 Pontevedra wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Pontevedra 1-1 PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Pontevedra 3-1 PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025Ponferradina 0-1 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2024Ponferradina 4-3 PontevedraFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Ponferradina on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ponferradina0.91.176/155/15
Pontevedra1.51.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ponferradina sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 8 matches) and Pontevedra sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ponferradina83326612
11Pontevedra8323101011

A question about Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Ponferradina vs Pontevedra played?
Ponferradina vs Pontevedra is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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