Where and when is Ponferradina vs Pontevedra played?

Ponferradina vs Pontevedra is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ponferradina vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

Ponferradina

Pontevedra

The Footlab model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Ponferradina (1,968) and Pontevedra (1,987).

Ponferradina win37 %

Draw31 %

Pontevedra win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ponferradina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Marino de Luanco(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Real Avilés(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Oviedo(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 20, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-4	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

Pontevedra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Coruxo(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Estradense(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Arosa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ponferradina win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pontevedra win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Pontevedra 3-1 Ponferradina	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025	Ponferradina 0-1 Pontevedra	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2024	Ponferradina 4-3 Pontevedra	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Ponferradina on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ponferradina score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ponferradina	1.1	1.3	7	6/15	7/15
Pontevedra	1.9	1.3	4	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ponferradina sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (60 points from 38 matches) and Pontevedra sit 6th (58 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Ponferradina	38	17	9	12	43	33	60
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49	31	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?: The Footlab model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Ponferradina vs Pontevedra played?: Ponferradina vs Pontevedra is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.