Match

Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoRacing Ferrol

The Footlab model makes Cacereño the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,922) and Racing Ferrol (1,831).

Cacereño win46 %
Draw28 %
Racing Ferrol win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 2, 8 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gévora(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Villanovense(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026CF Talavera(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Osasuna II(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cacereño win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Racing Ferrol win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Racing Ferrol 3-1 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 6, 2025Cacereño 0-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.41.149/158/15
Racing Ferrol1.01.549/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (44 points from 38 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 12th (49 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Racing Ferrol38131015414749
15Cacereño38101414424944

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol?
The Footlab model makes Cacereño the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Racing Ferrol.
Where and when is Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol played?
Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cacereño and Racing Ferrol

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