Match

Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoRacing Ferrol

The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cacereño wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,932) and Racing Ferrol (1,887).

39%32%29%
Cacereño winDrawRacing Ferrol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 18Juan Artola
  2. 16Sergio Navarro
  3. 9O. Chit
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Racing Ferrol

4-3-3
  1. 10Dani Ojeda
  2. 19Roberto Arroyo
  3. 11Endika Bujan
  1. 6Fabio González
  2. 14Jesús Bernal
  3. 16Raúl Blanco
  1. 2Migue Leal
  2. 17Álvaro Ramón
  3. 4Germán Novoa
  4. 5Eric Monjonell
  1. 1Lucas Díaz

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion
Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Pontevedra(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Real Unión(home)3-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cacereño wins, 0 draws, 2 Racing Ferrol wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Racing Ferrol 3-1 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 6, 2025Cacereño 0-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.40.867/156/15
Racing Ferrol1.10.967/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Racing Ferrol74128513
5Cacereño73317412

A question about Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol?
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Racing Ferrol.
Where and when is Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol played?
Cacereño vs Racing Ferrol is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cacereño and Racing Ferrol

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