Argentino Rosario vs Sacachispas: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Olaeta, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Sacachispas the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Argentino Rosario. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Argentino Rosario vs Sacachispas?
Sacachispas starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentino Rosario have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Sacachispas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JJ Urquiza(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mercedes(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mercedes(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Argentino Rosario win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sacachispas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Sacachispas 1-0 Argentino Rosario | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Sacachispas vs Argentino Rosario on Jun 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Argentino Rosario score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sacachispas score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Rosario | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Sacachispas | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentino Rosario sit 14th in Primera C (21 points from 25 matches) and Sacachispas sit 1st (42 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 14 | Argentino Rosario | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Argentino Rosario vs Sacachispas?
- The Footlab model makes Sacachispas the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Argentino Rosario.
- Where and when is Argentino Rosario vs Sacachispas played?
- Argentino Rosario vs Sacachispas is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Olaeta, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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