Match

Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Saturnino Moure, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Victoriano ArenasLeandro N. Alem

The Footlab model makes Victoriano Arenas the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Leandro N. Alem. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Victoriano Arenas (1,530) and Leandro N. Alem (1,517).

Victoriano Arenas win49 %
Draw32 %
Leandro N. Alem win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoriano Arenas have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Leandro N. Alem have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Victoriano Arenas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berazategui(home)1-0Primera C
Aug 15, 2026General Lamadrid(home)0-1Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Lugano(away)0-0Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Centro Español(away)1-0Primera C
Jul 25, 2026JJ Urquiza(home)0-0Primera C
Leandro N. Alem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lugano(home)0-1Primera C
Aug 15, 2026Central Ballester(away)0-3Primera C
Aug 8, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(away)0-2Primera C
Jul 27, 2026Sacachispas(away)1-1Primera C
Jul 18, 2026Canuelas(away)0-1Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Victoriano Arenas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Leandro N. Alem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Leandro N. Alem 0-0 Victoriano ArenasPrimera C
Aug 10, 2024Leandro N. Alem 3-0 Victoriano ArenasPrimera C
Mar 8, 2024Victoriano Arenas 1-2 Leandro N. AlemPrimera C
Jul 29, 2023Leandro N. Alem 1-0 Victoriano ArenasPrimera C
Mar 25, 2023Victoriano Arenas 2-0 Leandro N. AlemPrimera C
Jul 3, 2022Leandro N. Alem 0-0 Victoriano ArenasPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Leandro N. Alem vs Victoriano Arenas on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Victoriano Arenas score 0.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Leandro N. Alem score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Victoriano Arenas0.70.685/152/15
Leandro N. Alem1.01.344/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Victoriano Arenas sit 7th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and Leandro N. Alem sit 11th (27 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Victoriano Arenas258116191435
11Leandro N. Alem247611254027

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem?
The Footlab model makes Victoriano Arenas the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Leandro N. Alem.
Where and when is Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem played?
Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Saturnino Moure, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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