Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Saturnino Moure, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Victoriano Arenas the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Leandro N. Alem. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Victoriano Arenas (1,530) and Leandro N. Alem (1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoriano Arenas have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Leandro N. Alem have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berazategui(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | General Lamadrid(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JJ Urquiza(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lugano(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Canuelas(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Victoriano Arenas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Leandro N. Alem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Leandro N. Alem 0-0 Victoriano Arenas | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Leandro N. Alem 3-0 Victoriano Arenas | Primera C |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Victoriano Arenas 1-2 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Leandro N. Alem 1-0 Victoriano Arenas | Primera C |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Victoriano Arenas 2-0 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Leandro N. Alem 0-0 Victoriano Arenas | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Leandro N. Alem vs Victoriano Arenas on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoriano Arenas score 0.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Leandro N. Alem score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoriano Arenas | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Leandro N. Alem | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoriano Arenas sit 7th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and Leandro N. Alem sit 11th (27 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Victoriano Arenas | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 35 |
| 11 | Leandro N. Alem | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem?
- The Footlab model makes Victoriano Arenas the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Leandro N. Alem.
- Where and when is Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem played?
- Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro N. Alem is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Saturnino Moure, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Atletico AtlasvsEl Porvenir
- Oct 10, 2026CanuelasvsCentral Ballester
- Oct 10, 2026General LamadridvsSportivo Barracas
- Oct 10, 2026JJ UrquizavsDeportivo Paraguayo
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsCentral Cordoba
- Oct 10, 2026BerazateguivsDefensores de Cambaceres
- Oct 10, 2026Argentino RosariovsSacachispas
- Oct 10, 2026Centro EspañolvsPuerto Nuevo