Where and when is Canuelas vs Central Ballester played?

Canuelas vs Central Ballester is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Canuelas vs Central Ballester: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, Cañuelas, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Canuelas

Central Ballester

The Footlab model makes Canuelas the favourite at 56%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Central Ballester. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Canuelas vs Central Ballester?

Canuelas starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,620 vs 1,491).

Canuelas win56 %

Draw29 %

Central Ballester win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canuelas have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Central Ballester have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Canuelas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leones de Rosario(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Atletico Atlas(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 3, 2026	Yupanqui(away)	2-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Muñiz(home)	0-1	Primera C

Central Ballester
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	El Porvenir(away)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Leandro N. Alem(home)	3-0	Primera C
Aug 10, 2026	Fénix(away)	1-3	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Deportivo Paraguayo(away)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 26, 2026	Lujan(away)	1-3	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Canuelas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Central Ballester win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 14, 2026	Central Ballester 0-1 Canuelas	Primera C
Jul 19, 2025	Canuelas 0-0 Central Ballester	Primera C
Apr 6, 2025	Central Ballester 2-0 Canuelas	Primera C
Oct 18, 2014	Canuelas 0-2 Central Ballester	Primera D
Aug 27, 2014	Central Ballester 2-5 Canuelas	Primera D
Mar 16, 2014	Central Ballester 0-6 Canuelas	Primera D

Last archived meeting: Central Ballester vs Canuelas on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Canuelas score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Central Ballester score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Canuelas	1.1	0.7	8	5/15	5/15
Central Ballester	0.7	1.2	8	3/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Canuelas sit 2nd in Primera C (42 points from 25 matches) and Central Ballester sit 11th (27 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Canuelas	25	11	9	5	27	18	42
11	Central Ballester	24	7	6	11	23	27	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Canuelas vs Central Ballester?: The Footlab model makes Canuelas the favourite at 56%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Central Ballester.
Where and when is Canuelas vs Central Ballester played?: Canuelas vs Central Ballester is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.