Match

Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Centro EspañolPuerto Nuevo

The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Puerto Nuevo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo?

Centro Español starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,509).

Centro Español win46 %
Draw30 %
Puerto Nuevo win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Centro Español have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Puerto Nuevo have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Centro Español
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Estrella Del Sur(home)2-0Primera C
Aug 17, 2026Central Cordoba(home)2-2Primera C
Aug 8, 2026Berazategui(away)1-0Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Leones de Rosario(home)1-1Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Victoriano Arenas(home)0-1Primera C
Puerto Nuevo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(home)0-2Primera C
Aug 14, 2026Yupanqui(home)2-2Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Juventud Unida(away)1-1Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Sacachispas(home)1-0Primera C
Jul 23, 2026Argentino Rosario(away)0-0Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Centro Español win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Puerto Nuevo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Puerto Nuevo 0-2 Centro EspañolPrimera C
Jul 13, 2024Puerto Nuevo 1-0 Centro EspañolPrimera C
Feb 13, 2024Centro Español 2-2 Puerto NuevoPrimera C
Dec 19, 2021Puerto Nuevo 2-1 Centro EspañolPrimera D
Dec 12, 2021Centro Español 2-1 Puerto NuevoPrimera D
Nov 5, 2021Centro Español 1-1 Puerto NuevoPrimera D

Last archived meeting: Puerto Nuevo vs Centro Español on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Centro Español score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Puerto Nuevo score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Centro Español1.20.975/154/15
Puerto Nuevo0.80.974/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Centro Español sit 3rd in Primera C (38 points from 25 matches) and Puerto Nuevo sit 8th (35 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Centro Español251087322238
8Puerto Nuevo258116222435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo?
The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Puerto Nuevo.
Where and when is Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo played?
Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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