Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Puerto Nuevo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo?
Centro Español starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Centro Español have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Puerto Nuevo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Victoriano Arenas(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Yupanqui(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Juventud Unida(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Centro Español win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Puerto Nuevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo 0-2 Centro Español | Primera C |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Puerto Nuevo 1-0 Centro Español | Primera C |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Centro Español 2-2 Puerto Nuevo | Primera C |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Puerto Nuevo 2-1 Centro Español | Primera D |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Centro Español 2-1 Puerto Nuevo | Primera D |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Centro Español 1-1 Puerto Nuevo | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Puerto Nuevo vs Centro Español on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Centro Español score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Puerto Nuevo score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centro Español | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Puerto Nuevo | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Centro Español sit 3rd in Primera C (38 points from 25 matches) and Puerto Nuevo sit 8th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Centro Español | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Puerto Nuevo | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo?
- The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Puerto Nuevo.
- Where and when is Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo played?
- Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 10, 2026General LamadridvsSportivo Barracas
- Oct 10, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsLeandro N. Alem
- Oct 10, 2026JJ UrquizavsDeportivo Paraguayo
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsCentral Cordoba
- Oct 10, 2026BerazateguivsDefensores de Cambaceres
- Oct 10, 2026Argentino RosariovsSacachispas