Where and when is Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir played?

Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ricardo Puga, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ricardo Puga, General Rodríguez, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Atletico Atlas

El Porvenir

The Footlab model makes Atletico Atlas the favourite at 35%, against 35% for a draw and 30% for El Porvenir. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Atletico Atlas (1,570) and El Porvenir (1,552).

Atletico Atlas win35 %

Draw35 %

El Porvenir win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Atlas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; El Porvenir have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico Atlas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Yupanqui(away)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Argentino Rosario(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Canuelas(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 30, 2026	Deportivo Muñiz(away)	1-1	Primera C

El Porvenir
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	0-3	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Fénix(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 28, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(away)	2-3	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atletico Atlas win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 El Porvenir win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 13, 2026	El Porvenir 0-1 Atletico Atlas	Primera C
Nov 20, 2024	El Porvenir 2-2 Atletico Atlas	Primera C
Jun 18, 2024	Atletico Atlas 2-1 El Porvenir	Primera C
Oct 17, 2022	Atletico Atlas 0-0 El Porvenir	Primera C
Jun 12, 2022	El Porvenir 0-1 Atletico Atlas	Primera C
Oct 29, 2021	El Porvenir 2-3 Atletico Atlas	Primera C

Last archived meeting: El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico Atlas score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atletico Atlas	1.0	0.7	7	4/15	2/15
El Porvenir	0.5	0.8	8	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico Atlas sit 6th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and El Porvenir sit 10th (30 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atletico Atlas	25	9	8	8	22	21	35
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Atlas the favourite at 35%, against 35% for a draw and 30% for El Porvenir.
Where and when is Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir played?: Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ricardo Puga, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.