Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Imam Khomeini Stadium, Eslamshahr
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Ario Eslamshahr, 41% for a draw, 27% for Havadar. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Ario Eslamshahr (1,585) and Havadar (1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ario Eslamshahr have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Havadar have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(away) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(home) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Saipa(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 2-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 4-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Mes Kerman(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ario Eslamshahr win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Havadar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 Havadar | Azadegan League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Havadar 2-0 Ario Eslamshahr | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ario Eslamshahr score 0.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Havadar score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 15% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ario Eslamshahr | 0.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
| Havadar | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ario Eslamshahr sit 11th in Azadegan League (35 points from 29 matches) and Havadar sit 6th (40 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Havadar | 29 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| 11 | Ario Eslamshahr | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Ario Eslamshahr, 41% for a draw, 27% for Havadar.
- Where and when is Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar played?
- Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar is played on September 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Imam Khomeini Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 15% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.