Saipa vs Niroye Zamini: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab model makes Saipa the favourite at 57%, against 31% for a draw and 12% for Niroye Zamini. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saipa vs Niroye Zamini?
Saipa starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saipa have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Niroye Zamini have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Navad Urmia(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fard Alborz(away) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Sanat Naft(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 0-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Saipa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Niroye Zamini win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Niroye Zamini 0-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Saipa 1-0 Niroye Zamini | Azadegan League |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Saipa 0-1 Niroye Zamini | Azadegan League |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Niroye Zamini 0-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Niroye Zamini vs Saipa on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saipa score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Niroye Zamini score 0.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saipa | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Niroye Zamini | 0.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saipa sit 4th in Azadegan League (47 points from 29 matches) and Niroye Zamini sit 12th (32 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Saipa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 47 |
| 12 | Niroye Zamini | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saipa vs Niroye Zamini?
- The Footlab model makes Saipa the favourite at 57%, against 31% for a draw and 12% for Niroye Zamini.
- Where and when is Saipa vs Niroye Zamini played?
- Saipa vs Niroye Zamini is played on September 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.