Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab model makes Pars Jonoubi JAM the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Havadar. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Havadar (1,624) and Pars Jonoubi JAM (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havadar have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Pars Jonoubi JAM have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 2-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 4-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Mes Kerman(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 4-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 3-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Navad Urmia(home) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Mes Kerman(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Havadar win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pars Jonoubi JAM win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM 0-0 Havadar | Azadegan League |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Havadar 0-1 Pars Jonoubi JAM | Azadegan League |
| May 14, 2021 | Pars Jonoubi JAM 1-0 Havadar | Azadegan League |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Havadar 3-2 Pars Jonoubi JAM | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Havadar on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havadar score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pars Jonoubi JAM score 1.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havadar | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Pars Jonoubi JAM | 1.6 | 0.4 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havadar sit 6th in Azadegan League (40 points from 29 matches) and Pars Jonoubi JAM sit 5th (44 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 44 |
| 6 | Havadar | 29 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM?
- The Footlab model makes Pars Jonoubi JAM the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Havadar.
- Where and when is Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM played?
- Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM is played on October 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.