Fard Alborz vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fard Alborz the favourite at 52%, against 33% for a draw and 15% for Shenavarsazi Qeshm. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Fard Alborz (1,574) and Shenavarsazi Qeshm (1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fard Alborz have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Shenavarsazi Qeshm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saipa(home) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 1-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 4-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fard Alborz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fard Alborz 0-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Azadegan League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1-0 Fard Alborz | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Fard Alborz vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fard Alborz score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shenavarsazi Qeshm score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fard Alborz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fard Alborz sit 8th in Azadegan League (36 points from 29 matches) and Shenavarsazi Qeshm sit 14th (27 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fard Alborz | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fard Alborz vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?
- The Footlab model makes Fard Alborz the favourite at 52%, against 33% for a draw and 15% for Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
- Where and when is Fard Alborz vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm played?
- Fard Alborz vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.