Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arka Gdynia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Miedz Legnica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 2-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Arka Gdynia 5-0 Miedz Legnica | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Arka Gdynia 2-0 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Miedz Legnica 1-2 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Miedz Legnica 0-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Miedz Legnica 0-2 Arka Gdynia | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Miedz Legnica.
- Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica played?
- Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsWarta Poznań
- Feb 27, 2027Odra OpolevsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 27, 2027Stal MielecvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsLechia Gdansk
- Feb 27, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 27, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 27, 2027Polonia WarszawavsNieciecza