Match

Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka GdyniaMiedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Arka Gdynia win42 %
Draw26 %
Miedz Legnica win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-2I Liga
Aug 17, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)3-0I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)0-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)4-0I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-0I Liga
Miedz Legnica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)3-0I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)2-0I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arka Gdynia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Miedz Legnica win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Miedz Legnica 2-0 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Jun 28, 2025Arka Gdynia 5-0 Miedz LegnicaFriendlies Clubs
Mar 30, 2025Arka Gdynia 2-0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
Aug 30, 2024Miedz Legnica 1-2 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Mar 30, 2024Miedz Legnica 0-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Sep 26, 2023Miedz Legnica 0-2 Arka GdyniaCup

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia1.21.564/157/15
Miedz Legnica1.31.166/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Miedz Legnica53118210
5Arka Gdynia5302849

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica?
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Miedz Legnica.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica played?
Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arka Gdynia and Miedz Legnica

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