Match

Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomArka Gdynia

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Bytom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,818) and Arka Gdynia (1,814).

40%27%33%
Polonia Bytom winDrawArka Gdynia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Polonia Bytom

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Wojtyra
  2. 29D. Harwin
  3. 36D. Kondracki
  1. 17K. Wołkowicz
  2. 22K. Orlik
  3. 14G. Szymusik
  1. 30O. Krzyżak
  2. 77J. Szymański
  3. 25D. Konieczny
  4. 13A. Gajgier
  1. 1W. Banasik

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Gutkovskis
  2. 17N. Dzięgielewski
  3. 71J. Kowalski
  1. 28M. Ambrosiewicz
  2. 16Kuba Solecki
  3. 11D. Kocyła
  1. 94D. Gojny
  2. 4M. Komenda
  3. 6K. Lipkowski
  4. 44J. Dominguez
  1. 33J. Grobelny

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:20 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Nov 2, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)2-1I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-2I Liga
Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Nieciecza(home)3-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-2I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom wins, 1 draw, 1 Arka Gdynia win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Arka Gdynia 1-1 Polonia BytomI Liga
Nov 8, 2023Polonia Bytom 1-3 Arka GdyniaCup

Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom1.51.559/159/15
Arka Gdynia1.51.439/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 3rd in I Liga (24 points from 14 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 12th (18 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Polonia Bytom14662242024
12Arka Gdynia14536191718

A question about Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Arka Gdynia.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia played?
Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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